Nursing a short-stack with just 11 players left, and the final table bubble perilously close, Piccioli woke up with pocket eights after action folded to him in the small blind. Shoving all in was the natural play, and Piccioli had to be pleased when Antoine Saout called him down with ace-four offsuit from the big blind.
Along the same lines, gamblers believe they can find a pattern in the recent wins which gives them an indication of what’s about to happen. The idea is that some numbers are “hot” and others are “cold”. Of course, another group of players believe just the opposite: that those numbers which haven’t hit in a while are “due”. This gambler’s fallacy is based on a wrong understanding of the law of averages, which is really no law at all. No two results are connected, so no two numbers are more or less likely to appear than others.
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